What GMV counts

GMV (gross merchandise value) is the top line of trade. The formula is simple:

GMV = Number of orders × Average order value (AOV)

The operative word is “gross” — before any deduction. If a shopper places a $500 order and returns
it the next day, that order still sits inside the period’s GMV. Returns come out at the level of net
revenue, or of net GMV where a company reports that figure separately.

GMV vs revenue: which to look at, and when

Measure What it includes When to look at it
GMV Every order placed Growth in scale, comparison against the market
Net revenue GMV − returns − discounts P&L, unit economics
Gross profit Net revenue − COGS Profitability of the assortment

For a marketplace, GMV is the headline metric: commission is charged on it, and GMV is what reflects
the volume of transactional activity on the platform. For a direct-sale online store, revenue is the
more informative number.

Decomposing GMV

GMV is worth decomposing in order to find the growth levers:

GMV = MUV × CR × AOV
where:
MUV  — unique visitors per month
CR   — conversion rate into an order
AOV  — average order value

This decomposition shows which lever will move fastest. When traffic is expensive and conversion is
low, personalizing the PLP and the PDP adds GMV without increasing the marketing budget.

How personalization affects GMV

Personalization acts on all three components:
– MUV — indirectly, through retention and return visits (retention grows MUV without new acquisition)
– CR — through relevant recommendations, personalized PLP sorting and well-targeted popups
– AOV — through cross-sell (bought together), upsell (similar items at a higher price) and a progress bar towards the free-shipping threshold

Tip: when calculating the ROI of a personalization platform, compare the GMV gain net of gross
margin — a 10% GMV lift at a 20% margin means +2 percentage points of gross profit growth, and that
is the number to set against the price of the platform.